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+--- Thread: The Next 6 Weeks Or So (/showthread.php?tid=914)
RE: The Next 6 Weeks Or So. - ozzyten10 - 03-02-2021
Cardiff are terrible
RE: The Next 6 Weeks Or So. - Paplane - 03-02-2021
(03-02-2021, 01:12 PM)ozzyten10 Wrote: Cardiff are terrible
Mick'll sort 'em though
RE: The Next 6 Weeks Or So. - Strawberry Avenger - 03-02-2021
Mick will.
Forest need that win over Wycome. Psychologically, it puts Forest mid table amongst a very under performing pack.
From there it can change the out look of the season from relegation dog fight to consolidation.
A massive confidence boost.
SA.
RE: The Next 6 Weeks Or So. - Plymouth red - 03-02-2021
To me that run of four games at end of feb is critical to our chances. Blackburn, Rotherham, Derby, Luton - if we can take 9 or 10 points from that then it would relieve a lot of pressure as we face the top sides.
I think anything less than 6 would be a disaster.
Wycombe - must win
Bournemouth - a draw would be fine
Swansea - just a more competitive performance than last time.
Blackburn - a draw
Rotherham - must win
Derby - draw
Luton - must win
Those last four games are all tricky - but hopefully we will be a better side by then and more consistent - I think we should be aiming for 4 points from them - 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats. That takes us to 16 which would leave on 46 points - tantalisingly close to the golden 50.
This is obviously forest though so I reckon around 9 or 10 with a lot of draws
RE: The Next 6 Weeks Or So. - Sabricadabra - 03-02-2021
Swansea is the toughest one - a point would be a good result.
All the others are winnable, although there could be a turnaround at Bournemouth given the strength of their squad. I’m going for 19 points.
RE: The Next 6 Weeks Or So. - Strawberry Avenger - 03-02-2021
(03-02-2021, 01:42 PM)Plymouth red Wrote: To me that run of four games at end of feb is critical to our chances. Blackburn, Rotherham, Derby, Luton - if we can take 9 or 10 points from that then it would relieve a lot of pressure as we face the top sides.
I think anything less than 6 would be a disaster.
Wycombe - must win
Bournemouth - a draw would be fine
Swansea - just a more competitive performance than last time.
Blackburn - a draw
Rotherham - must win
Derby - draw
Luton - must win
Those last four games are all tricky - but hopefully we will be a better side by then and more consistent - I think we should be aiming for 4 points from them - 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats. That takes us to 16 which would leave on 46 points - tantalisingly close to the golden 50.
This is obviously forest though so I reckon around 9 or 10 with a lot of draws
That sounds reasonable.
SA.
RE: The Next 6 Weeks Or So. - Username - 03-02-2021
(03-02-2021, 11:44 AM)Reds73 Wrote: It’s very difficult / impossible to predict results on a game by game basis.
For context though -
Last 10 games - 16 points @ 1.6 ppg
Last 15 games - 17 points @ 1.13 ppg
I will go in the middle of that given that it is a tougher run of fixtures than last 10, but countered by hopefully a stronger midfield.
So 11 games x 1.3 Ppg = 14 points.
That would put us on 43 points with 8 games left.
Sounds about right to me.
RE: The Next 6 Weeks Or So. - GaribaldiRED - 03-02-2021
(03-02-2021, 02:31 PM)Username Wrote:(03-02-2021, 11:44 AM)Reds73 Wrote: It’s very difficult / impossible to predict results on a game by game basis.
For context though -
Last 10 games - 16 points @ 1.6 ppg
Last 15 games - 17 points @ 1.13 ppg
I will go in the middle of that given that it is a tougher run of fixtures than last 10, but countered by hopefully a stronger midfield.
So 11 games x 1.3 Ppg = 14 points.
That would put us on 43 points with 8 games left.
Sounds about right to me.
If we add average for the last 5 we get 10 points @ 2.0 ppg.
It's a good trend and maybe 1.3 is a bit on the conservative side :cool:
RE: The Next 6 Weeks Or So - PsychoStanleyStone - 03-02-2021
Wycombe - must win
Bournemouth - a draw would be fine
Swansea - just a more competitive performance than last time.
Blackburn - a draw
Rotherham - must win
Derby - draw
Luton - must win
Could lose all of them, but this is my problem, they all look winnable to me for 1 reason or another, prefer a strong finish to the season, i think cautious Chris will probably end up picking up, playing for, holding for draws, though a few consecutive wins could really make the season interesting and well worth the gamble
RE: The Next 6 Weeks Or So. - Username - 03-02-2021
(03-02-2021, 04:36 PM)GaribaldiRED Wrote:(03-02-2021, 02:31 PM)Username Wrote:(03-02-2021, 11:44 AM)Reds73 Wrote: It’s very difficult / impossible to predict results on a game by game basis.
For context though -
Last 10 games - 16 points @ 1.6 ppg
Last 15 games - 17 points @ 1.13 ppg
I will go in the middle of that given that it is a tougher run of fixtures than last 10, but countered by hopefully a stronger midfield.
So 11 games x 1.3 Ppg = 14 points.
That would put us on 43 points with 8 games left.
Sounds about right to me.
If we add average for the last 5 we get 10 points @ 2.0 ppg.
It's a good trend and maybe 1.3 is a bit on the conservative side :cool:
Yeah but it’s pretty obvious the kind of teams we get points from so applying what you suggest is just some form confirmation basis to support a rose tinted optimism.
RE: The Next 6 Weeks Or So - Redreg - 03-02-2021
Wycombe A - Win ✅
Bournemouth H - Draw✅
Swansea A - Lose ❌ draw
Blackburn H - Draw ❌ win
Rotherham A - Win ✅
Derby A - Draw ❌ win
Luton H - Win ✅
Watford A - Lose ❌ draw
Reading H - Win ❌ draw
Norwich H - Draw ❌ win
Brentford A - Lose ✅
24 points ei ei ei ooooooo !!!!
RE: The Next 6 Weeks Or So - Sabricadabra - 04-02-2021
After last season’s collapse I’d feel worried even if we need 4 points from the final 6 games to be safe.